Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 6.752938 8.003384 9.384265 11.017248 12.890275 14.965976 17.434702
2025-02-09 5.107288 6.771324 8.785817 11.382827 14.618454 18.491641 23.450778
2025-02-16 3.908224 5.706657 8.060207 11.318747 15.658787 21.179802 28.663413
2025-02-23 2.991080 4.767164 7.259213 10.932050 16.112269 23.048507 32.905173
2025-03-02 2.312635 3.999748 6.523909 10.460304 16.301879 24.481722 36.588423
2025-03-09 1.917767 3.568045 6.181032 10.460709 17.093676 26.738606 41.505690
2025-03-16 1.618627 3.225580 5.907654 10.502289 17.908435 29.046292 46.617408
2025-03-23 1.368295 2.914176 5.627877 10.478081 18.587496 31.167379 51.563743
2025-03-30 1.105325 2.524608 5.150349 10.051973 18.556758 32.166766 54.841181
2025-04-06 0.947774 2.305509 4.937668 10.042838 19.190679 34.226814 59.864942
2025-04-13 0.808959 2.095436 4.707293 9.965525 19.684826 36.074148 64.641369
2025-04-20 0.754901 2.057831 4.803236 10.496833 21.281748 39.835573 72.733641
2025-04-27 0.691775 1.991014 4.838048 10.928240 22.760552 43.539333 81.032485
2025-05-04 0.640804 1.943355 4.906404 11.433104 24.418241 47.662195 90.287814
2025-05-11 0.555784 1.791643 4.727184 11.413576 25.079610 50.075465 96.752200
2025-05-18 0.460121 1.588019 4.398241 11.037804 25.009425 51.162541 100.954118
2025-05-25 0.374937 1.390048 4.047638 10.566273 24.694502 51.763155 104.302991
2025-06-01 0.327619 1.290629 3.918646 10.567996 25.333153 54.163497 111.005604
2025-06-08 0.288539 1.206318 3.813708 10.610360 26.054843 56.757106 118.188099
2025-06-15 0.251891 1.119566 3.687682 10.586067 26.627614 59.090025 124.996060
2025-06-22 0.206007 0.985901 3.409890 10.156195 26.273556 59.572057 128.324455
2025-06-29 0.180411 0.918342 3.306221 10.146991 26.850747 61.939631 135.370916
2025-07-06 0.156241 0.848164 3.182170 10.068989 27.261360 63.987036 141.888822